Author: Dr. Tomaj Arian
The situation in the Middle East is critical, and we must expect an unexpected event at any moment.
The Islamic Republic, the main cause of instability in the Middle East, has not learned its lesson after the 12-day war and is preparing to create another crisis.
After its humiliating defeat in this war, the Islamic Republic seeks revenge and prepares for another war.
The Islamic Republic is fully equipping the Houthis in Yemen so that in the event of another war with Israel, the Yemeni axis will also help it attack Israel.
At the same time, it strongly opposes the disarmament of Hezbollah in Lebanon and has placed Lebanon on the brink of civil war. The Islamic Republic’s goal is for Hezbollah in Lebanon to attack Israel again with its remaining missiles during a war and activate Israel’s northern axis.
In Iraq, it continues to equip the Popular Mobilization Forces with drones and missiles to drag Iraq into the next war.
The Islamic Republic has imported a large number of weapons into the West Bank through Syria and Jordan in the past few years, and hopes to bring armed forces into Israel through the West Bank in conjunction with a new war with Israel and open a new front. The Islamic Republic’s goal is an attack similar to October 7th through the West Bank.
The Islamic Republic of Iran is also building missiles and launchers with all its capabilities. A large number of the Islamic Republic’s missile launchers were destroyed by Israel in the 12-day war, and the Islamic Republic is facing a severe shortage in this regard. On the other hand, the Islamic Republic is focusing on building hypersonic and cluster missiles that, in addition to being undetectable, can cause extensive damage and destruction in Israeli cities.
The Islamic Republic is simultaneously moving with all its might towards reviving its nuclear program. Building an underground complex under the “Kalang Gaz La” mountain in Natanz and possibly achieving 90 percent uranium for making warheads are among the priorities of the Islamic Republic.
In less than 20 days, the trigger mechanism will be applied by England and France, and all UN sanctions will be reinstated, and Iran will fall under Article 7 of the Security Council Charter, which will be considered a major threat to world peace and will give Israel and the United States the necessary authorization for military action. The Islamic Republic intends to withdraw from the NPT (Nuclear Weapons Prohibition Treaty) after implementing the trigger mechanism, and this is also a clear message for the production of nuclear weapons.
All of these factors mean that we should expect a new war between Israel and Iran in the Middle East from September. A war that, in addition to these two countries, will also involve Yemen, Iraq, Lebanon, and the West Bank, and will open the door for other countries in the world to join this war.
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